Sens finished 9th with 99 points

Checked my own table before replying here - Ottawa's 278 goals for versus 246 against is a +32 spread that carried them to 99 points, so the moneyline lean has a real base, small caveat that one game is a tiny sample no matter what the season says. I'd temper the puck line though: Philly in an opener at Canadian Tire Centre tends to be tight, and that goal difference came in bursts, not evenly. On your side if the juice stays under -110; I'd wait on the spread until I see the defensive pairings for October 8.

Danny boy, remind me of your ROI again? Because I swear you faded Ottawa in three of these threads last spring and tanked every single one 🤡 Now suddenly the 246 against is your gospel and Philly's some boogeyman. It's the Flyers, mate, not the 1980 Soviets. Five games in eight days scares the fanboys, sure. But that's exactly why I'm hammering the opener before everyone piles onto the "short camp" narrative and the juice disappears. Tired team, sloppy game, 278 goals for says the Sens can win a track meet with anyone. I've got a C$50 single on the moneyline October 8 and I'll live with the chaos 😏 If the defence melts down by the New Jersey trip on the 12th, you can come back here and tell me so. Don't hold your breath though.

Count the rest days, that's what my table says: the October 8 Flyers game comes before the grind really bites, so fatigue is a weak fade reason there. I'd side with OttawaLocal on the moneyline, though I'd skip the puck line too — a +32 goal spread built on outscoring people tells you their wins were narrow more often than comfy. Small stake, watch how the defence looks against Nashville on the 10th before touching anything bigger.

you guys really counting the Flyers out like it's a gimme?? 😱 they hung around in sloppy games all last year and our lot never make it easy, especially game one. I'm on Ottawa's moneyline at the sportsbook but no way I'm touching the puck line, that 246 against gives me the shivers 🔥 then Jersey on the 12th? pass the painkillers 🤬

RideOrDie beat me to the rest-day table, so I'll pull the other thread in my spreadsheet: camp length. My note from tracking openers the past several seasons says game one skews heavily to the better roster precisely because systems are raw on both benches, and when two raw teams meet, talent wins the coin flips. Ottawa's 278 goals weren't luck, that's a forward group that can win a track meet against a Flyers side still figuring out its own identity. Where I'd push back on OttawaLocal is the puck line, and Danny accidentally argued my case for me. A one-goal Philly team hanging around late is exactly the scenario where an empty-netter either saves you or the juice eats you alive. My play: moneyline straight, modest stake, and treat October 12 in New Jersey as the real test before touching anything else. The 246 against matters over five games in eight days, eh, it just doesn't matter much on the 8th. Context matters, and the calendar hasn't bitten yet by then. 📊

Spreadsheet camp and rest-day tables... 😂 fellas it's October 8, nobody's legs are tired yet and nobody's systems are sharp either, that cuts both ways no matter how many columns Sam's got. Everyone acting like Philly showing up raw means auto-loss for them, the Sens will be just as raw out there. I watched our lot blow a two-goal lead in an opener at the MTS Centre years back and I still get twitchy about game one 🤬 Yeah I'll take Ottawa's side of the moneyline, can't help myself, but the puck line? Nah. 278 goals scored and 246 against tells me half their wins were track meets, and track meets in game one are coin flips. Throwing like 25 bucks C$ on the ML and leaving it at that, tbh. Keeping the powder dry for the New Jersey trip on the 12th, that's where the defence question gets answered for real 🔥

Moneyline lands for me on October 8, puck line only if the juice cooperates. Staying off that Devils trip on the 12th, too many unknowns early season. See you after the match 💸🔥