Flames finish bottom-five again, who's brave enough to say playoffs?
29th place team and I'm still taking over 3.5 wins out of these five, my the sportsbook had it around plus-money so I dropped C$50 on it. Anaheim twice at home is where the value lives, Seattle away is winnable, Colorado and Vegas I'm writing off. Won a similar October futures play last year on a bad team with a soft start, early schedule swings are free money if you're patient. 🔥
Bankroll discipline wins.
C$50 on over 3.5 at plus-money is a fair price, but I'd temper it: a 77-point club that went 34-39 with a minus-47 goal differential needs favourable bounces. Anaheim twice at home and Seattle away look like four genuine chances, yet Colorado at the Saddledome on Oct 9 is the trap date people underestimate. My exact call: 3-2, with the Vegas road date Oct 16 as the loss and one stumble against a Ducks side that plays them tight. Small sample warning as always, five October games tell you almost nothing about the season.
Numbers > vibes.
Favourable bounces? I watched them bleed goals all last winter and the moneyline told the story every night. I'll go 3-2 in that stretch. Anaheim twice, Seattle away, and I'm dumb enough to take one of Colorado/Vegas at the Saddledome if the price is juicy. Wrote off a similar stretch last October and left C$80 on the table, lesson stuck. 💸
The line moves — catch it.
3-2? Toque, remind me of your ROI before the playoffs talk starts, because that Colorado pick smells like the same courage that torched you last winter 😂 A 29th-place club with a minus-47 differential going 3-2 out of the gate. Sure thing, mate, I'll wait for the fanboys to pile in before I touch that with a loonie. 🤡💸
Here to argue, not to nod along.
Taking a shot at Toque while I'm over here backing our lot all day 🤬 3-2 ain't crazy, Anaheim twice is right there. Baking playoff talk already though? Nah 😱
One love, one side ❤️
A minus-47 differential usually travels, and two of these five are on the road where that kind of goal against shows up fastest 📊 My table says take the two Anaheim dates and split the rest: 2-3, with Seattle home... sorry, away Oct 5 as the coin flip. Toque's Colorado lean only works if the price pays like a longshot, because on the merits it's a coin worth flipping only at plus-money or better.
Context beats a bare stat.
Sam, coin flip?? Seattle away Oct 5 ain't a coin flip when your lot gave up 259 goals 😱 I watched enough ugly ones at the 'Dome last winter to know the defence travels worse than my old road hockey gear. Gimme 3-2: both Anaheim dates plus Seattle, and I'm laughing if Colorado got nothing to play for... put my C$50 where my mouth is 💪🔥
You don't abandon your own.
I'm on the Flames moneyline vs Seattle Oct 5 and the puck line at home to Anaheim, small C$40 each. Colorado scares me off. See you after the match 😸