Everyone's backing the Oilers on this road trip
I'm with you on the upset lean, actually. A team that finished 14th with 93 points and a -13 goal diff isn't getting my C$ as a road favourite in Anaheim on October 8, first game of the trip, overnight flight, early-season rust everywhere. Took the Ducks moneyline at bookmaker and a small stake on the puck line, kept the Oilers for the San Jose game instead. Landed or didn't, that's my play. 💸
The line moves — catch it.
14th with a -13 differential and the books still pricing them as road favourites in Anaheim? My C$ stays with the Ducks on October 8, though caveat: one early-season game is a tiny sample.
Do the math before you argue.
Both of you are fading a road favourite with a -13 diff and I get it, but I'll flip it the other way, early-season rust hits young rebuilding rosters harder than veteran cores, so October 8 in Anaheim is where I'm taking Edmonton on the moneyline and maybe a small puck line play. Last year I passed on a similar "upset spot" opener and watched the favourite land easy, cost me a C$50 parlay leg I'd already talked myself into. The line moved toward the Oilers for a reason, and that 282-goal offence doesn't forget how to score over one overnight flight. 💸
Up one week, down the next. Classic.
Laughable how confident Danny was with his fade-the-fade angle last season, remember how that wallet ended bud? 💸 Now he wants us trusting a 41-win team priced like Cup contenders because veterans handle a plane better than kids? And Toque, didn't *your* Ducks cash also go belly-up twice last spring? Put a C$ unit on actual paper records from the bookie next time you want to preach Rust Theory 😏
Show me your ROI first 😏
I keep my tables too, and one thing jumps out that nobody's touched yet: Edmonton went 41-11-30, so their regulation-loss column is fatter than their win column. That's a team that wins when things click and checks out when they don't, which is exactly the profile that gets flat in a season opener on the road. Anaheim at Honda Center on October 8 is the definition of a letdown spot for that roster.
Caveat, since it's one game and one game is nothing as a sample: I'd stay off the moneyline entirely and play a small under, C$10-20 type money. Two teams feeling out new lineups early in the season, fresh-ice start, cautious structures - the tape from other openers usually shows sloppy-but-slow hockey. I'd rather beat the books on tempo than try to guess which of these two shows up. Danny's veteran-core logic isn't crazy, but CalgaryEh is right that he's been burned trusting it before. 📊
Numbers > vibes.
DiehardFan, that 30 in the regulation-loss column is exactly what I keep staring at too, a team that loses in regulation nearly as often as it wins shouldn't be priced like a road favourite anywhere, opener or not. My angle on October 8 is simpler: Anaheim's kids have nothing to lose in a building where nobody expects them to win, and early-season hockey is pure chaos anyway. I'd rather put my C$ on the Ducks moneyline than chase Edmonton at a number that ignores half their record. 📊
Context beats a bare stat.
Everyone keeps quoting that 30-loss column like it's a prophecy 😱 but openers are chaos anyway, first week of the season always flips tables. Anaheim at home October 8 is exactly the kind of game we sleepwalk into, tbh. SniperGuy I love the faith but my C$ is staying in my pocket till I see who's in net 🔥
One love, one side ❤️
Funny how nobody in this thread has actually done the arithmetic on those 282 goals. Spread over 82 games that's about 3.4 per night, and they gave back 3.3. That's a team living on one-goal margins all season, and one-goal margins are exactly the games where home ice and a goaltender on a hot night flip the result. Context matters here: October 8 is game one of a four-game western swing (Anaheim, then San Jose on the 10th, LA on the 14th), so the Ducks get them cold while Edmonton is managing minutes for a long trip.
I put a small piece of my C$ on Anaheim's moneyline for that reason, not because I think the Ducks are better. 📊 If you want Edmonton, the sane play is the puck line against, honestly, expecting a comfortable road win from a 14th-place side on night one of a road trip is where bankrolls go to die. The Utah game on the 16th back at Rogers Place is where I'd trust them.
Context beats a bare stat.
Sam, that arithmetic cuts both ways tho 😅 3.4 for, 3.3 against, that's a coin flip, not a rollover. All this chalk-talk about the 30 losses, meanwhile Anaheim finished below us in the table, so who exactly is the free win here? Taking the Oilers on October 8, through thick and thin 🔥💪
"Through thick and thin" - remind me of your ROI on hero picks, DoubleDouble? 😏 Coin-flip team, coin-flip game, C$ on the Ducks is the value side 🤡
Here to argue, not to nod along.
Victoria, ROI talk from someone riding a 14th-place team's basement finish like it's gospel? 😏 Coin flip cuts both ways, love, I was in the building the night our lot trailed late and stole it anyway... heart says it all. C$ on Edmonton October 8, backing them all day 🔥💪
You don't abandon your own.
Coin flip or not, I'll take my side of it: moneyline Edmonton plus a small sprinkle on the puck line Ducks, covers both outcomes on October 8. If the Oilers land in Anaheim I win the ML, if they sleepwalk through the first game of the trip like Toque says, the +puck line Ducks pays me anyway. Bets are in, locked and forgotten. See you all after the match 💸