A 28th-place Leafs side hosts Buffalo on October 15
28th in the league and 299 goals against, I'm not touching the moneyline here, Buffalo on the road is my lean and I'll take a small C$50 shot plus a half-unit on the Sabres puck line. If the Leafs drop the back-to-back in Utah the night before, that line will move fast, so I'm betting it before the boards even check the goalies. 🔥
The line moves — catch it.
28th in the league and 299 goals against, I'm not touching the moneyline here, Buffalo on the road is my lean and I'll take a small C$50 shot plus a half-unit on the Sabres puck line. If the Leafs drop the back-to-back i…
Toque, that road swing is exactly why I'm leaning the other way - Leafs coming home off Vegas, Colorado and Utah, tired legs or not, Buffalo's no prize either. I faded Toronto all last season and the -299 GA burned me more than once, but home moneyline against another bottom feeder is where I'll take a small shot. Waiting on the confirmed starters before I put a number on it though, one bad goalie check and it lands empty. 😭💸
Bankroll discipline wins.
Toque, your C$50 on Buffalo is defensible, but context matters, that 28th-place table (32-14-36, 253-299) is last season's sample, and this one opens with a four-game road swing through Vegas, Colorado and Utah before the Sabres visit Scotiabank Arena on the 15th. Fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back after Utah can cut either way. I'd want to see how the Nashville game on the 6th looks before committing anything.
Context beats a bare stat.
Sam, weren't you the genius who tipped Buffalo to make the playoffs last April? 🤡 Buffs win on the 15th and I'm stacking it on the sportsbook, 253 goals scored says they can outscore anyone 😏
It's a lottery, not sport.
OttawaLocal talking sense here imo, tired legs or not 299 goals against is 299 goals against 😂 C$10 on Buffalo from me, my wallet cried less than the D last season
Kev, love how you flipped 253 goals into a selling point like scoring 3 a night while leaking 299 somehow wins you bets 😂 I'll take the tired-legs angle the other way: a club coming back from Vegas, Colorado AND Utah to face Buffalo on one day's rest, that's a live dog spot no matter how bad the table looks. C$20 on the Leafs puck line for me, and remind me again what your ROI was last season before you call me a clown 🤡💸
Here to argue, not to nod along.
everyone piling on the Sabres and nobody remembers how our lot never make it easy 😤 yeah 299 against was ugly but one day's rest at home after that western swing? crowd at Scotiabank will drag them through it, been going to games since I was a kid and they always show up when written off. C$20 on the Leafs moneyline tbh, live a little 🙌
One love, one side ❤️
Back-to-backs kill worse than travel, Calgary, Utah on the 14th then Buffalo next night means zero practice days. Sweating both sides, honestly my the sportsbook slip stays thin 🤡💸
Any stat can be bent.
Calgary gets it, that crowd at Scotiabank on a Saturday night hits different 😤 still, zero practice days after Utah is scary and 299 against gives me nightmares, so I'm only throwing a loonie-ish C$20 on the Leafs moneyline through thick and thin. If the goalie steals one we're dancing, if not ah well, nowt to do 🍁
One love, one side ❤️
Nobody's mentioning Nashville on the 6th? That's the actual trap game before this circus road trip even starts 😏 lose that one at home and the bookies won't even bother pricing the Vegas-Colorado-Utah swing fairly.
Look, I love that Leafs fans are out here romanticising the Scotiabank crowd like it's 2013. Halifax is dropping a whole C$20, bless his heart. That's courage or dementia, hard to tell. And in reality? A defence that shipped 299 last year doesn't get bailed out by noise when Buffalo's skating fresh legs into your building on zero rest. I'll happily fade Toronto on the moneyline through bookmaker and maybe sprinkle a Sabres prop if the price looks generous. Someone has to pay for my wings at the pub 🤡💸
Show me your ROI first 😏
Agreed the back-to-back is the real killer, so Sabres ML for me, C$75, plus a quarter-unit on their puck line. If Toronto survives Utah, I'll regret it. See you after the 15th 💸